PNN – A faculty member of Tehran University’s Faculty of World Studies believes that entering into another new war in the Middle East, this time with Iran, will question the political integrity of the United States and that the United States will forever be the loser in the competition with China.
Ms. Dr. Zohra Kharazmi, faculty member of the Faculty of World Studies, University of Tehran, in an interview and in response to the question of what effect the Al-Aqsa storm had on the foreign policy of the US President Joe Biden’s administration, said: The relationship between Joe Biden and Benjamin Netanyahu, the prime minister of the Zionist regime after the Al-Aqsa storm operation, was a special relationship. In the sense that, in spite of all-round support and the allocation of huge sums of cash and military aid to Israel, Biden could not convince Netanyahu to give up his greedy plans in the region and against Palestinian civilians. In other words, after the “Al-Aqsa Storm” operation, it became clear that Biden has a fragile personality among his allies, and as the President of the United States, he does not have influence and power even among Washington’s strategic partners. Netanyahu’s lack of taking him seriously is an issue that is now being seriously criticized in the United States.
She mentioned two examples of these criticisms in the American society and added: The criticisms raised have targeted both Biden’s character and his professional skills. For example, David Miller, one of the well-known experts of the Carnegie Endowment for International Peace, said in an article for the New York Times: The gap between what Biden hoped to achieve and what he ended up with is a vast, unbridgeable chasm. Also, in an article in Foreign Policy, it was pointed out that Biden is not only unable to end the war in the Middle East, but he cannot even complete a peace negotiation or at least a reduction in the level of war between Hamas and the Zionist regime.
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In response to the question whether the developments in Gaza and Lebanon and the maximum support of the United States to Israel can lead to a change in Washington’s policy towards Iran and a direct conflict between the two countries, Dr. Khwarazmi pointed to the 8% increase in oil prices last week and said: If Netanyahu wants to attack Iran’s refineries without paying attention to American warnings and considerations, this issue can increase the price of oil up to $20, and certainly in such an environment, American businesses will face a deep crisis.
This American affairs expert added: Several sources have warned that Israel alone is not capable of a meaningful attack on Iran’s nuclear sites. On the other hand, in this situation and if Netanyahu’s extravagance continues, if the United States opens up to war with Iran, the possibility of this country losing in the competition with China (which was able to become an economic superpower in a short time during the Cold War) will be very high. According to the Purchasing Power Parity (PPP), the Chinese economy is now 20% larger than the American economy. Of course, if the same measurement is done with the Gross Domestic Product (GDP) factor, the American economy is still bigger, although the growing trend of China’s GDP, according to the statistics of the International Monetary Fund, in the last 5 years has been two and a half China’s economy is three times higher in GDP growth than the United States.
This faculty member of the Faculty of World Studies said about how the US presidential election is affected by developments in the Middle East: In this regard, various factors should be considered. First, the Arab and Muslim body in America is an important part of the electorate, especially in “decisive states”. For example, 126,000 Arab Americans live in Pennsylvania and 392,000 in Michigan. Considering this demographic, whether these people participate in the elections or not and who they vote for will be important.
Another important point to consider is the American Jewish population, which traditionally leans toward Democrats. In a way, it is said that 72% of Jewish voters have taken a position in favor of Kamala Harris, the Democratic candidate, against Donald Trump, the Republican candidate. Recent studies show that the voting pattern of American Jews in 2020 and 2024 did not differ much, but among Arab Americans there is a lot of dissatisfaction with the performance of Biden and the Democratic Party regarding Palestine. So that despite the opposing voices among American citizens to stop sending American weapons to Israel and requests for a practical ceasefire in Gaza, the Biden government recently donated 20 billion dollars of new weapons to this regime.
In recent polls, it is said that nearly 60% of Arab Americans have emphasized that the Gaza war is very important to them and will affect how they vote on Election Day. 80% of American Arabs also had negative opinions about Biden, while only 55% of this group had a negative or critical opinion about Trump. The opinions of Arab Americans in this matter are based on the fact that they do not necessarily have a positive opinion of Trump, but they are very upset and dissatisfied with the performance of Biden and the Democrats in creating and continuing the crisis in Gaza and the Middle East. On the other hand, the main body of Arab Americans in polls evaluates Kamala Harris as the extension of Biden’s thoughts and actions, and for example, only in the state of Michigan, 12% of Muslims will vote for Harris. Meanwhile, in 2020, Biden’s vote in Michigan was superior to Trump’s.