PNN – In recent years, Martyr Sayyed Hassan Nasrallah has repeatedly warned against American-Zionist seditious projects and has listed the American factors, scenarios, and tools involved in these seditions.
According to the report of Pakistan News Network, citing the Al-Ahd news website, In October 2025, dangerous tensions arose on the border between Pakistan and Afghanistan, and Afghan forces carried out attacks on Pakistani soil in response to Pakistani airstrikes that targeted positions in Kabul and Paktika Province. This tension appears on the surface to be the result of a mutual security conflict, but behind the scenes of this conflict lie deeper and more dangerous dimensions that indicate a methodical attempt to explode the region from within.
The border developments between Pakistan and Afghanistan are actually a new chapter in an old American-Zionist plan that seeks to divide Islamic countries by creating ethnic, religious, and sectarian conflicts. In analyzing this strategic plan, the warnings of the martyr Sayyed Hassan Nasrallah come to mind, who had previously warned that enemies may consider sedition a more effective weapon than direct attacks.
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Sayyed Nasrallah warns: Sedition is more dangerous than occupation
Since the US invasion of Iraq in 2003, Martyr Sayyed Hassan Nasrallah has always warned against turning wars into internal conflicts managed behind the scenes by foreign powers. He believed that after failing to impose its dominance through direct occupation, America had resorted to a strategy of internal division and creating sectarian and ethnic conflicts.
In his speech on the occasion of the anniversary of Lebanon’s liberation on May 25, 2006, he presented a clear structure for how to implement this plan, saying: They try to create enemies for the Ummah so that we will clash and fight with each other. They create imaginary enemies for us, and due to the ignorance or backwardness of some of us, this plan succeeds. They want to create many enemies between our nation and between Arabs, Persians, Turks, Kurds, Baluchis, Tajiks, and Uzbeks, so that we, with stubborn ethnic prejudices, build a barrier of hatred and grudges and fight with the other children of our nation. The tension between Muslims and Christians in Lebanon, Egypt, and Iraq is similar. The most dangerous conspiracy planned for this Ummah is the danger of sectarianism, and this is what the US government and Mossad are working on politically, culturally, media-wise, and in terms of security. Sedition between Sunnis and Shiites is the greatest danger that threatens our Ummah.
These words show that the tension between Afghanistan and Pakistan is not a coincidence, but an engineered plan to divide the Ummah by igniting nationalist and religious conflicts. Therefore, the warning of the martyr of the Ummah was not a prophecy, but came from a deep understanding of the enemy’s strategy, which manifests itself in various arenas.
Background to the Pakistan-Afghanistan tension
Since the Taliban took control of Kabul in 2021, relations with Islamabad have been strained due to the activities of the Afghanistan-based Tehreek-e-Taliban Pakistan (TTP). Pakistan has repeatedly carried out airstrikes against the group inside Afghanistan, which has been met with a response from the Taliban.
But more importantly, this tension is occurring in a sensitive region with demographic diversity and ethnic divisions, making it a fertile ground for American incitement.
The border areas between Pakistan and Afghanistan include a complex mix of ethnicities and religions, the most prominent of which include the following:
Baloch: They are scattered between Pakistan, Iran, and Afghanistan and are mainly in a marginalized situation, which exposes them to external provocations.
Tajiks and Hazaras: There are two main ethnic groups in Afghanistan whose relationship with the Pashtun Taliban movement is fraught with tension.
Hazara Shiites: This group is constantly exposed to sectarian and ethnic persecution.
This complex demographic mix, if it escalates into a civil conflict, will lead to an explosion whose consequences may extend beyond the borders of the two countries and threaten the stability of the entire region.
“Persistent Sedition”: A New Phase of “Creative Chaos”
The American plan of “creative chaos” in its new versions is no longer based solely on overthrowing regimes, but has moved towards an approach that could be called “sustainable sedition.” This plan is based on nurturing long-term conflicts that may not lead to military or political resolution, but rather to the continuous erosion of countries and societies.
Tools for implementing the American plan:
The United States has a set of tools at its disposal for its sedition, which it can use at appropriate times. These tools include:
– Justification of rebellion and secession under the slogan of rights created by ethnic and religious minorities.
– Creating an environment of chaos to weaken institutions, whose tools are extremist groups.
– Depicting the oppressed and attracting international sympathy, the tools of which are the controlled media and human rights activists.
– Legitimizing foreign interventions, the tools of which are civil society organizations.
– Weakening governments and holding them responsible for repression or failure, the tool of which is economic sanctions.
Using these tools, countries become fragile and internally exhausted entities that sometimes lack their own authority, and even if they solve these problems, economic sanctions will be the final blow. As happened in Syria in recent years as an example of all these options.
Possible scenarios
Considering the course of developments, the Covenant considers the following scenarios likely:
- Continued conflicts between Pakistan and Afghanistan, the likely outcome of which is the disintegration of borders and loss of control over border areas, which is highly likely.
- An ethnic explosion within Afghanistan, likely to be formed with the participation of Tajiks and Hazaras in the rebellion, is highly likely.
- The intensification of armed activity by the Baloch, which is considered a threat to Pakistan, is highly likely.
- Indirect intervention by the US or India to support separatists and disintegrate the central government of Pakistan, which is moderately likely.
- The formation of an axis of coordination between Iran, Pakistan, the Taliban, and China to ward off sedition and create a system of regional stability is also a possible scenario.