PNN – The extreme approach of Trump and the US ruling party to the two cases of Iran and Palestine has led international observers to speak of the possibility of increased hostility and tension in the region.
With Trump’s return to power, he has placed on his agenda, in order to secure the interests and ambitions of the Zionist regime and also to advance the goals of the angelic neoconservatives, confronting the Iranian nuclear issue and the plan to forcibly evacuate Palestinians from the Gaza Strip. Two plans that are apparently distinct but with identical and similar goals in order to draw a new Middle East, without the presence of Tehran and its allies in the region and with the aim of ensuring the security of the occupying regime in Jerusalem.
A look at the programs and advertisements presented by the Trump campaign in the months leading up to the November 2024 elections clearly demonstrates the central position of Iran, confronting our country’s nuclear issue, and the necessity of weakening the so-called resistance forces in Donald Trump’s foreign policy agenda.
The extreme attitude of Trump and the US ruling party towards both of the aforementioned cases has led international observers to speak of the possibility of increased hostility and tension in the region; a tension that, according to the White House authorities, will free the Zionist regime from two potential threats (a nuclear Iran and the presence of Hamas in the vicinity of the occupied territories) if it succeeds in achieving its predetermined goals.
What are the scenarios related to Gaza?
Implementing Trump’s plan to completely dominate the Gaza Strip
The first scenario regarding the future of Gaza involves the full implementation of Trump’s plan for the complete domination of the Strip by the United States. Despite the surprise of international minds at Trump’s expression of such a plan – a plan that has even been met with consternation by Netanyahu – such a scenario cannot be completely eliminated from the equation. The outcome of Trump’s positions in recent weeks and his repeated emphasis on the necessity of realizing the above idea is evidence that the US President, as he has previously mentioned, has been contemplating implementing the above idea for a long time.
What are Trump’s actions and tools to materialize this scenario?
The plan to forcibly relocate Gaza residents to Egypt and Jordan is so far removed from the realities of the region that even senior diplomats in the Trump administration, such as Marco Rubio, tried to present it to international public opinion in a logical manner after Trump proposed it. However, as John Bolton has stated, it seems that the above plan was entirely Trump’s idea, and he – contrary to Rubio’s positions on the return of Palestinians to Gaza after the construction of the region – has explicitly stated that they will not return to their homeland. Therefore, in describing the tools and possible actions of the US government to realize this idea, as Trump himself once did in response to a reporter asking how and by what leverage the US would pursue this plan, one can refer to “American power.” America’s position as the most powerful member of the international community is the most important leverage that Trump has counted on.
Thomas Friedman, a senior international affairs expert at the New York Times, writes about Trump’s plan for Gaza, the obstacles ahead, and its consequences:
“Donald Trump’s plan to expel two million Palestinians from Gaza and turn the area into a recreational hub is an unprecedented and risky move that will not only fail to bring peace but will also severely disrupt regional order. The proposal has sparked widespread reactions around the world and even opposition within Israel. The Trump administration, heavily influenced by the Israeli far-right, is seeking to completely eliminate Hamas from Gaza, regardless of the realities on the ground. But this approach is not only impractical, but could also create broader security crises in the region.”
Forced migration of some Gaza residents to neighboring countries
It has been eight years since Donald Trump began his serious presence in the international political arena. The results of his positions, actions, and style of speech indicate that, as a professional businessman, he has generally expressed the limits of his demands in politics and economics in order to force the other side to make minimal flexibility in his positions. An example of such a policy can be seen over the past month, at least in the US’s confrontation with Canada, Mexico, and Panama. Following Canada and Mexico’s threat to impose 25% tariffs, Ottawa and Mexico City were finally freed from the aforementioned threat and sanctions by granting concessions and accepting some of Trump’s demands. Regarding Panama – contrary to Trump’s explicit statements about occupying the Panama Canal – the diplomatic establishment headed by Marco Rubio succeeded in forcing the Panamanian government to distance itself from China and withdraw from China’s massive “Belt and Road” project, without occupying the canal.
Despite the Zionist regime’s concern about the continued presence of Palestinians in Gaza, the settlement of half of them in Arab countries can be considered a great achievement for the Zionists. The increase in the birth rate of Palestinians relative to Jews has always been viewed as a concern by the Zionists, especially over the last two decades. According to them, increasing the demographic balance in favor of the Arabs will double the security challenges for the Zionists. On the other hand, the realization of such an idea could serve as a model, and be repeated later, regarding the situation of refugees living in the West Bank. The actual realization of such a scenario would remove the Zionists from the position of accountability regarding the reasons for the occupation of Arab lands after the 1967 war and the refusal to accept Palestinian refugees, and would place Palestinians and Arabs in a position of struggling to maintain the current precarious situation.
Issuing a permit for the occupation of the Gaza Strip by the Israeli regime
In response to Hamas’ criticism of the Israeli regime’s violation of the ceasefire and opposition to the release of the Israeli hostages, Trump has gone beyond the agreement reached between the parties to implement the ceasefire in the first phase and has explicitly demanded the release of all Israeli hostages, describing their failure to be released as an end to the ceasefire and the opening of the gates of hell to Hamas and the Palestinians. It is no secret that the plan to forcibly evacuate Palestinians from the Gaza Strip and the US occupation of this small region was not based on American economic interests and demands, but mainly to ensure the security of the Zionist regime.
The presence of Arab forces, led by the Egyptian army, in Gaza as the only neighbor of this strip, and the deep-rooted tensions between the Muslim Brotherhood and al-Sisi’s army will lead to an escalation of internal tensions in Gaza and Egypt. Hamas, as the branch of the Muslim Brotherhood in Gaza, will not tolerate the presence of the Egyptian and other Arab armies and will consider it against its interests. This issue, while confronting Hamas with the Arab armies, will cause the crisis to spread into Egypt. In such a context, the Egyptian army will double its control of the border between Gaza and the Sinai Desert (called Philadelphia) and guarantee the security of the Zionist regime. The Palestinian Authority would also view such a plan with concern and reluctance, deeming it contrary to the best interests of the Palestinians. Indeed, according to supporters of such a scenario, the United States, contrary to Trump’s current position, would secure and guarantee the interests of the Israeli regime without confronting the Arab countries.