PNN – Operation Al-Aqsa storm of 7, 2023/Palestinian resistance was a surprising event that divided the situation of Palestine and the Middle East into front and back. This great event is the creator of new developments and trends and has many consequences. In this note, I will try to list the titles and initial formulation of some of them at three levels within the Palestinian/Israeli, regional and international levels.
The October 7, 2023 operation Al-Aqsa storm of the Palestinian resistance was a surprising event that divided the situation of Palestine and the Middle East into front and back. This great event is the creator of new developments and trends and has many consequences. In this note, I will try to list the titles and initial formulation of some of them at three levels within the Palestinian/Israeli, regional and international levels.
The level inside Israel
1- Israel’s military deterrence system collapsed and the Zionist regime was forced to use its military facilities and equipment in the Gaza war to the point of insanity to rebuild and restore deterrence.
2- The large dimensions of the October 7 operation greatly fueled the feeling of lack of security in the Israeli settler society and once again put this society in front of existential questions (to be or not to be).
3- The myth of the invincibility of Israel’s army and intelligence services and all the depictions and psychological and brainwashing operations carried out in the past decades collapsed in this framework.
4- He completely invalidated the central claim of the right-wing discourse of Israel’s ruler in the past two decades that the issue and problem called Palestine is over.
5- It inevitably strengthened the unity of the Zionist society in the conditions of crisis and war. But this only reflects the first layer of reality. In the lower layers, it provided the platform for the intensification of conflicts and differences and the deepening of the divisions activated before October 7, immediately after the end of the Gaza war.
6- He put Netanyahu in front of the hardest test of his political career and most likely turned the Gaza war into Netanyahu’s first-class political station.
7- The harsh and anti-Palestinian discourse strengthened the far-right ruling coalition in Israel in the light of the necessity of the war, but in the second layer of developments, it provided the opportunity to weaken the position of politics and the re-emergence of Israel’s center-right movement.
8- The existential view of Zionism/the Zionist movement, especially its right wing, revealed and strengthened it more than ever before in relation to the conflict with the Palestinians.
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Palestinian level
9- It strengthened the self-belief and possibility of initiative and influence of the Palestinian nation and resistance in an exceptional and rare way in the history of confronting the Zionist occupation.
10- The popular popularity of the Islamic resistance movement – Hamas among the displaced Palestinians in the homeland (the occupied territories of 1967 – the West Bank and the Gaza Strip) as well as the displaced Palestinians from the homeland, and this movement in the vanguard position and at the top of the leadership of the nation and Palestinian resistance.
11- He established the position of the Palestinian Islamic Jihad movement as the second most effective jihadist movement in the Palestinian scene and strengthened the relations of solidarity and companionship of this movement with the Hamas movement.
12- The institution of Palestinian self-governance and its presidency faced one of the most difficult tests of its life, and its lack of popularity and influence in the Palestinian public opinion and in the process of developments in the occupied territories became more obvious.
13- The Palestinian National Liberation Movement – Fatah, the leader of the struggle of the Palestinian nation until the Oslo agreement, faced a new test and with the further weakening of the official leadership of this movement, once again the ground for promoting the role of the new generation and some of its prominent figures imprisoned or expelled provided
14- The role of Palestinian Christians alongside Palestinian Muslims, as well as the role of some historical left-wing Palestinian groups, especially the People’s Front for the Liberation of Palestine, in solidarity and companionship with the two Islamic resistance movements (Hamas and Jihad), deepening the Palestinian national issue and the nationalism of the Palestinians’ struggles against Zionist occupation was established.
15- The adherence of the people of Gaza to their land and their non-submission to the scorched earth policy and the forced migration of Palestinians made the difference between this generation and the generations at the beginning of the occupation and the Nakbat of Palestine even more obvious.
Regional level
16- The importance of the Palestinian issue in the regional trends and the necessity of realizing the minimum ideal of the Palestinian nation as a prerequisite for any new process and development was confirmed and the impossibility of crossing it and unilaterally promoting ideas based on normalization was determined.
17- The influence of Iran and the resistance group became more obvious and it became clear that it cannot be removed from the regional trends. In other words, it became clear, without the support of Iran and the resistance group, no trend in the region can enjoy the element of continuity and stabilization.
18- The concept, nature and level of coordination and companionship between Iran and the resistance group was put to a kind of test and its real dimensions became clearer in a great objective experience.
19- The process of normalization of relations between Saudi Arabia and Arab and Islamic countries with Israel was stopped. Of course, this stop is temporary and its continuation depends on the process of further developments, especially the final results of the Gaza war.
20- The role of Qatar as a mediating regional actor that has the power of simultaneous communication with both sides of the Gaza war was relatively strengthened.
21- The role of Al Jazeera satellite network as a first-class media influencing public opinion was established and deepened, which dominates the media of the dominant western and international media.
22- Turkey’s regional role-playing was not only not strengthened due to the country’s refusal to play the middle game, but also weakened to some extent, and its relations with both sides of the Gaza war were put to a new test. At the same time, the people’s capacities and the role of Turkish civil society in supporting Palestine clearly showed the necessity of strengthening civil society and using its broad capacities within the framework of Iran’s national policies in both domestic and foreign fields.
23- The historical gap between the Arab governments and nations deepened and once again the huge gap between the Arab public opinion and the politics of their governments was revealed.
24- The dormant volcano of the Arab masses has been lit again and the heat of the fire of hidden anger within the Arab societies has reached such high levels that sooner or later, like the developments of 2011 in the region and the Arab revolutions, it will rise to the surface from the depths.
25- Yemen became a Middle East player for the first time in the history of the Palestinian conflict with the special role played by Ansarullah and Sana’a. The popular popularity of Ansarullah in Yemen and in the Islamic world was relatively strengthened and the depictions of the dominant media flow and the Arab official system on behalf of Saudi Arabia (and the UAE) against this movement faced serious challenges and questions.
26- More suitable conditions were provided for the policymaker to advance from power to legitimate power or authority (recognized by competing actors), as a vital necessity to ensure the stability and continuity of Iran’s regional influence and power.
International level
27- The occupation of Palestine by the Zionist movement and the unresolved national issue of Palestine once again turned it into the first issue of the world’s public opinion, and due to its practical results, it inevitably put it on the agenda of world powers and international politics.
28- He mobilized world public opinion in a unprecedented way in support of the Palestinian nation and the right of this nation to be freed from the occupation. As far as some well-known scientists of political science like Mersheimer, 95% of the world’s public opinion is currently against Israel and supporting the Palestinians.
29- The reality of the multi-standard, oppressive and brutal policy of America and the West, and the falseness and deceitfulness of the slogans of democracy and human rights, revealed it and put an end to many doubts and questions in this field among the masses and elites of Iran and the world.
30- It inevitably weakened the divisions between America and Israel in the light of the war conditions, but in the innermost layer of the developments, it fueled these divisions, especially with the discourse of the ruling extreme right of Israel. This will fuel the efforts of America and the West to change the composition of the government in Israel and strengthen the so-called middle and secular right and weaken the religious and more radical right.
31- The external conditions changed the Ukraine war and by reducing the focus of America and Europe on this conflict and transferring an important part of their political and strategic attention and weight to the Palestinian crisis, the situation of Russia in this war underwent a positive change, at least temporarily.