PNN – Today, in an article referring to the goals of the Israeli Prime Minister regarding the continuation of the current conflicts in Gaza and Lebanon and his hope to establish a new order in the Middle East, Foreign Affairs website wrote that various factors, including false hope with Donald Trump, will cause the failure of this strategy.
According to the report of Pakistan News Network, Foreign Affairs analysis states, Backed by the support of the far-right in the cabinet, Netanyahu has resisted calls for a cease-fire and is seeking to redouble his efforts – no matter how long it takes – for “complete victory”. In addition to continuing the Gaza war and laying the groundwork for Israel’s long-term security presence in the northern part of this strip, his goal includes imposing a new order on Lebanon, neutralizing proxy forces in Iraq, Syria and Yemen; And finally, action against Iran.
Some members of the ruling coalition also hope to forget the prospect of a two-state solution forever. Meanwhile, Netanyahu believes that Saudi Arabia and other Persian Gulf countries will eventually agree to normalize relations with Israel. He is sure that when Trump returns to the White House, he will benefit from the support of America.
Zionists see Trump as a staunch supporter of Israel who is less concerned about norms, international institutions and maintaining restraint than his Democratic predecessor. In addition, the US president-elect has previously expressed plans to resume the “maximum pressure” campaign against Iran and prioritize increasing the number of countries that are members of the Abraham Treaty.
In the continuation of this article, it is stated: success in war cannot bring lasting security in the absence of political or diplomatic arrangements. Israel may be involved in many wars and the burden of providing the needs of a huge number of civilians in Gaza and Lebanon is on its shoulders. Gaining the support of the Arab world is more difficult than defeating Hamas and Hezbollah, and it will be impossible as long as the current right-wing Israeli government is in power. Meanwhile, Trump is highly unpredictable and Israel may become isolated on the world stage by gambling on his support. Netanyahu may weaken Israel’s position on the way to permanent victory.
Currently, Hamas, Hezbollah and the Houthis have resisted and started to regroup. Their existing combat power is significant and they are still able to attack Israel daily with hundreds of rockets, ballistic missiles and drones and cause financial and human losses. Even if these groups are unable to overcome Israel’s air defenses, they have succeeded in creating public chaos, sending Israelis permanently to shelters, and disrupting the flow of Israeli life. Iran and its proxies will not disappear. Hoping for the surrender of these groups and the expectation that the Iranians, Lebanese, Palestinians and Yemenis will immediately rise up and remove the oppressors is more like a dream than a conscious analysis.
On the other hand, any major Israeli plans for the region will not materialize without significant assistance from Washington. At a time when Israel’s dependence on America has never been so obvious, the assumption of Trump’s unwavering support seems naïve. The president-elect’s praise of “Arab American” and “Muslim American” voters to facilitate his victory could be a sign of the incoming administration’s skepticism towards Israel’s special privileges, along with Trump’s general aversion to war and America’s military commitments to other countries.
Trump’s general foreign policy stances could be just as troublesome for Israel. A month after telling reporters in September that “we have to make a deal with Tehran,” he declared that he would “stop the misery and destruction in Lebanon.” His reluctance in American financial and military aid to other countries heralds fundamental changes for Israel. Even if Trump does not withdraw the Biden administration’s military aid to Israel, such as the THAAD air defense system, his isolationist tendencies may signal a reduction in support in the future, thereby limiting the IDF’s freedom of action.
Other world powers show less patience with Israel’s brutality. France, Germany and Britain – which did not join Israel’s defense umbrella for Iran’s second missile attack in October – have restricted arms exports to Israel over concerns about compliance with international law. International institutions such as the United Nations, the International Court of Justice and the International Criminal Court, which have a long history of criticizing Israel, have also expressed their views on the current behavior of this regime. Among them is the recent confirmation of the arrest warrant for Netanyahu and former Defense Minister Yoav Galant for war crimes in Gaza. This increasing international pressure could have negative consequences for the operational independence of the Israeli military, as well as the ability of Israelis to trade and travel abroad.
In the political arena, Netanyahu fired Gallant – the former general and the most trusted Israeli official in the Biden administration – and replaced him with a politician who lacks Military history. He apparently intended to appease the extreme Zionist representatives with this completely political action. They threatened to leave the government if a law was not quickly passed to exempt this group from military service. Netanyahu’s prioritization of self-preservation over national security and even social cohesion is increasingly demoralizing large segments of the population that form the backbone of Israel’s modern economy and military.