PNN – The last days of 2023 brought worse news for the world that was getting used to hearing war news under the shadow of the war of attrition between Russia and Ukraine. In the year that passed and before October 7, what filled the air were the consequences of the devastating war between Ukraine and Russia, but after the days that passed in the news of this war, October was coming when the news bomb of the year exploded; The surprise attack of “Hamas” on Tel Aviv, which shocked the leaders of Israel and its allies; The attack and the events after it, regardless of its regional dimensions, emitted meaningful messages in the international arena.
It was February 25, 2022, when Russian President Vladimir Putin put an end to years of speculation about the historical claims of Ukraine and Russia and ordered military operations against Kiev. A war whose cause was noticed above all because it was synonymous with a territorial claim. But it was found that the roots of this unequal military battle should not be sought in Russia, but in America and in the heart of the goals that this country had designed in the process of its regional strategy.
Much of what happened in the political and military spheres of the world and the region after the start of the Ukraine war and reached the events of October 7 and the operations of the “Aqsa Storm” were domino-related. The set of security challenges that, according to “John Mersheimer”, an American expert analyst, the big and dominant players present in it, under the banner of the “power transfer” theory, play a role in the surrounding environment of the emerging powers and try to develop and influence themselves in the wider international arena. An approach whose signs were seen in the Ukraine equation, and the United States and its European allies saw this country as a controlling sphere next to Russia, whose weakening would threaten the strategic interests of the United States in this part of the region and weaken the growing competition with Moscow and Beijing. According to America, Ukraine was the transit point for more than 80% of Europe’s gas imported from Russia, and without the presence of this country and Russia’s energy highway to the West, Moscow’s efforts would be devoid of geopolitical influence.
Read more:
Israel’s exit from the safe margin
The October 7, 2023 war in the Gaza Strip cannot be evaluated without the West’s strategy towards Ukraine. Tel Aviv has always been considered one of the main sides of the implementation of the policy of creating crisis and a controlling component in the peripheral environment of a range of emerging international and regional powers. In this way, to the extent that the number of Israeli security actions in the region increased, alarm bells were sounded for the governmental and non-governmental actors in the region, from the Palestinian Resistance Front to the Islamic Republic, based on the threat to their interests in West Asia. In such an environment, the weakening of Hamas and the flow of Palestinian Islamic resistance, which are facing Israel and the Western countries, could become a red line for the great powers of the Middle East region, including Iran. In this way, in parallel with the fact that Western actors see Tel Aviv as a deterrent against regional actors and a factor to fulfill their regional demands, the influential actors of West Asia also consider the weakening of Hamas and the resistance against their regional strategy.
War and two approaches
The war of attrition in Ukraine, which in recent months has practically faced a stalemate with no prospects and was stuck like a bone in the throat of America and its allies in NATO, suddenly started under the shadow of the war that started with the operation “Aqsa Storm” in Gaza. It was left out of the attention of the countries of the Western system, and “Vladimir Zelensky”, the president of Ukraine, suddenly received his war of costs with Russia, out of the crosshairs of attention and the lens of the media’s camera and turned to the bloody events of the Middle East; It was natural to worry this adventurous politician; Because he knew very well that he lost the competition from the point of view of the position of Ukraine and Israel in the process of goals and interests pursued by America and its western partners.
Emergence of the new order
While Russia’s war in Ukraine should be considered as the final seal on the dream of Europe’s defense and security autonomy, which decisively changed the scales among European politicians in favor of the pro-Atlantic faction and emphasized the necessity of strengthening the interaction with NATO under the leadership of the United States. But by comparing the roots of the war in Ukraine and Gaza under the shadow of the strategy of “creating a crisis in the peripheral areas”, we can talk about a bigger change in the framework of global interactions, which speaks of the changing process of power relations; A period that carries with it a series of disturbances and disruptions until the establishment of a new order and puts an end to the domination and supremacy of the United States.