PNN – Russia Today, while examining a series of Iranian levers of power in the imposed American-Zionist war, wrote that the attacks by the United States and Israel will not last more than a few days.
In a report referring to Iran’s winning cards in the war imposed by the United States and the Zionist regime, the Russia Today website quoted Vladimir Prokhvatylov, an expert at the Russian Academy of Military Sciences, as expressing confidence that the war that the United States and Israel have launched against Iran will not be a diversion or a lightning military operation.
The military and strategic expert cited several objective reasons for this, which makes this confrontation a risky and costly adventure for these regimes. Prokhvatylov ruled out the possibility of overthrowing the Iranian regime or achieving decisive strategic goals, adding that Tehran is far from defeat or collapse.
The Russian military expert emphasized that, according to assessments by the US National Intelligence Agency, Iran possesses “the largest stockpile of ballistic missiles in the Middle East,” with some of its missiles having a range of up to 2,000 kilometers.
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According to the Center for Strategic and International Studies, this vast arsenal includes many long-range missiles capable of reaching Israel and posing a real threat to it. Among the most prominent of these missiles are the Sejjil missile with a range of 2,000 kilometers, the Emad missile with a range of 1,700 kilometers, the Qadr missile with a range of 2,000 kilometers, the Shahab-3 missile with a range of 1,300 kilometers, the Khorramshahr missile with a range of 2,000 kilometers, and the Hoveyzeh missile with a range of 1,350 kilometers.
The Russian military expert went on to point out one of Iran’s most important trump cards, the “Khoramshahr-4” hypersonic missile, and said that this missile has an extraordinary ability to travel 2,000 kilometers in just 12 minutes, which makes it a potential threat to the Israeli regime’s Iron Dome missile defense system, which will find itself powerless against such extraordinary speed and high maneuverability.
Prokhvatylov adds that independent international analysts have expressed doubts about the veracity of media claims of serious damage to Iran’s missile capabilities. He also adds that the ability of the US and Israel to continue bombing the Islamic Republic for a long time is very limited, primarily due to a severe and worrying shortage of air defense missiles and precision munitions.
The Russian expert went on to quote the British Financial Times newspaper, citing Western officials and analysts, as saying that the limited stockpiles of vital defensive munitions in the US will likely determine the scale of any US or Israeli military strike against Iran. The report added that this concern stems from the unprecedented scale of the US and Israel’s use of their air defense missile stocks during the 12-day war.
Prokhotilov adds that the US fired about 150 THAAD missiles during the 12-day war to defend Israel alone. This intensive use resulted in significant attrition in a system that had requested fewer than 650 interceptor missiles since it entered full service around 2010. This means that Washington used up almost a quarter of its accumulated stockpile of these expensive missiles in a matter of days.
The Financial Times points to another problem facing the Americans in this war, writing that one of the main challenges is the need for American destroyers equipped with guided missiles to return to ports to reload ammunition, as it is technically and logistically impossible to load them at sea. This means that the massive US Navy faces operational constraints that limit its ability to provide continuous and uninterrupted fire support.
The British newspaper reveals more detailed Israeli intelligence estimates that even with the arrival of the Gerald Ford aircraft carrier in the region, existing US military capabilities would only be sufficient to support an intensive air strike for four to five days, or a week at a lower intensity and density. This assessment sets strict time limits for any potential military operation.
The Russian expert complemented this analysis with a quote from a reputable academic study, saying that fighter jets may be able to destroy fortified installations and weaken military capabilities, but they cannot change domestic politics.
He quotes Kelly Grieco, a prominent analyst at the Stimson Research Center, as saying that strategic bombing, as a century of observation and empirical studies have shown, does not necessarily lead to popular rebellion and uprising, but on the contrary, may lead to national solidarity alongside the sovereign to confront foreign aggression.
The Russian expert ultimately predicts that US President Donald Trump will suffer major electoral damage within the United States as a result of the failure of his military adventure and will fail to present himself as a peace-loving man.