Pak Sahafat – In a report, Foreign Afrez magazine assessed the possibility of changes in the political systems of European and American countries, that they may stop supporting Ukraine and leave this country alone.
According to Pak Sahafat News Agency’s report on Tuesday, In this report, written by Liana Fix and Michael Kimmage, Foreign Affairs has mentioned that when Russia annexed Crimea in 2014, France, Germany, England, the United States and many supporters of Ukraine sought to restore the country’s territorial integrity through diplomacy and actions.
Even now, in the current war between Russia and Ukraine, a coalition of the richest and most technologically advanced countries has given Kiev a structural advantage in the war with Moscow, which has modernized the country’s old infrastructure.
The continued commitment of the West to Ukraine is not a guaranteed issue. Constituencies in Europe and America are skeptical about long-term support for Ukraine. Until now, such hesitant voices have been in the minority, but they are gradually spreading.
The rise of anti-Ukrainian and pro-Russian views in public remains a rare point of view in the political arena. Instead, cynicism is emerging in domestic political debates. In the United States, the war in Ukraine has become the latest flashpoint in the struggle over how much Americans should care about and spend on supporting foreign partners and allies. In Europe, the corona epidemic, high inflation and then the outbreak of war have put economic pressure on them. Optimism about Ukraine’s success is fading into concern about a major, endless war on European soil.
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Meanwhile, developments on the frontline, especially the slow pace and little achievements of Ukraine’s counteroffensive, have raised doubts about the West’s continued support for Kiev. Even if the Ukrainian counteroffensive has a relatively good result, this issue will not stop the war anytime soon.
Supporters of Ukraine do not have a clear and agreed-upon theory about the country’s victory against Russia. Outside Ukraine, the news revolves around other issues than the war. The longer the conflict drags on, the more the Russia-Ukraine war will recede into the back of minds, increasing calls for at least one solution to end the war.
The main danger for Ukraine in the sudden change of political approach in the West is no less than the reduction of foreign aid. However, if a sudden change occurs, it will start from the United States, whose main foreign policy direction will be determined in November 2024 during the elections. Therefore, America and Europe are not mutually concerned about each other’s internal conditions.
Endless favoritism towards Ukraine is characteristic of the governments of Finland, Poland, Sweden, England and the Baltic countries. Concerns that the far-right government will change Italy’s approach to Ukraine have been confirmed. Italian Prime Minister Giorgia Meloni has emphasized the approach of the West in supporting Ukraine. Considering how hated Vladimir Putin is in France, the main figure of the government’s opposition, Marine Le Pen, who historically supported Putin and confirmed the annexation of Crimea in 2014, condemned Russia’s invasion from the beginning. However, on the other hand, he is against sanctions and providing heavy weapons to Ukraine. Hungary, as a member of the European Union and the North Atlantic Treaty Organization (NATO), is a dissenter.
Europe’s staunch support is unlikely to wane anytime soon. According to a June poll by Eurobarometer, 64 percent of EU residents support providing military equipment to Ukraine, ranging from 30 percent in Bulgaria to 93 percent in Sweden. No European party that supports the pro-Russian idea can form a stable electoral coalition. In fact, since the start of the war, many Europeans have become more supportive of the EU and NATO.
Although in Germany, the increase in the power of the “Alternative for Germany” party in the polls and its becoming the second most powerful party in the country makes the situation look different. This far-right party wants Germany to withdraw from NATO and stop supporting Ukraine, but the popularity of this party is not rooted in supporting Russia.
To Europeans, the longer the war drags on, the more intractable and costly it can seem more a vehicle for US power than Europe’s core interests. Since support for war is the status quo in Europe, politicians can focus on the home front and blame European elites for caring more about Ukraine than their own people. For example, a popular left-wing member of the German parliament, Sahra Wagenknecht, recently likened support for Ukraine to a bottomless pit, while federal funding is cut in all other areas. Such views could easily become more mainstream in Europe, and their proponents would not need to present a viable alternative policy. They don’t even need demagogues to convince the economically stressed Europeans that ending the war is easy and that ending the conflict will save them from problems like high inflation.