PNN – According to the developments in England, a western media predicted a difficult year with a crisis and a possible defeat for the conservatives in a difficult election year.
According to the report of Pakistan News Network, Tagus Shaw newspaper discussed the difficult election year ahead of the Conservative Party of England in an article and wrote: Elections will be held in the UK in the next 12 months. After more than 13 years of conservative rule, a change of government is coming in this country. Labor has been consistently ahead of Rishi Sunak’s Conservatives for more than a year, according to polls.
In the continuation of this article, it is stated: The situation is extremely dangerous for the conservatives. The far-right wing of the party is particularly unhappy with Sunak, and on the right of the party spectrum, another party called Reform UK is now increasingly competing with the Tories.
Last year, the UK Reform Party was able to double its votes in the polls and reach ten percent. Because of Britain’s majority voting system, the party is not expected to win more than one or two seats in the next general election. But it may steal many votes from the Conservatives and tip the balance in favor of Labor in some constituencies.
Because Reform UK has set itself the goal of “destroying” the Tories. Party leader Richard Tice confirmed this just a few weeks ago. He wants to ensure the Tories “never get a majority again”.
British reform appeals to voters with slogans such as “Let’s make Britain great” or “Let’s save Britain”. Nicolai von Ondarza of the Foundation for Science and Politics in Berlin says: “Reform Britain is a classic right-wing populist party. This party is to the right of the conservatives.
This party is of course not a new player in the UK: it was founded in 2019 as the Brexit Party. Brexit activist Nigel Farage joined the party shortly after it was founded, leaving the UK Independence Party (UKIP) over a dispute over its leadership. The aim of this party was to stop Prime Minister Theresa May’s soft Brexit process.
After Boris Johnson’s election victory and the implementation of a hard Brexit, Farage withdrew from politics. His Brexit Party changed its name to Reform Britain during the coronavirus pandemic. Richard Tice, an entrepreneur, has been the president of the party since March 2021.
Von Ondarza says about this: In the British discussions about reforms, almost everything revolves around Farage. At every party press conference, the question is whether Farage will return to politics. He has a lot of influence in public discourse.
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In December, Farage took part in a reality TV show in the Australian jungle. According to a poll by the Hugo Farage Institute, in the fourth quarter of last year he was among the five most popular British politicians. Farage has never sat as a member of the British House of Commons.
Now it remains to be seen whether Farage will return to the political arena or not. One of the founders of the reforms has been struggling with joining the Conservative Party for weeks. According to von Ondarza, speculation is rife that Farage could try to lead the Tories. At the beginning of October, he appeared at the Conservative Party conference in Manchester and attracted all the attention.
British political scientist Mark Garnett of Lancaster University believes that this scenario is unlikely. Farage has already entered the history books with his Brexit campaign. Unlike Donald Trump, Farage does not want to be at the top. But as Garnett says, he enjoys the public attention.
However, the Reform Party can still be dangerous for conservatives. On the right, they compete with the Conservatives for voter approval. Observers believe that it is possible that this party will be divided in the votes of the right wing.
Von Ondarza says it could cost the Conservatives dearly if Reform UK wins a large swath of constituencies in the next general election.
The UK reforms call for an end to climate neutrality and migration neutrality instead. Accordingly, only the number of immigrants who leave the country should immigrate to this country.
The party’s potential voters include Brexiteers, the traditional right-wing spectrum of the Conservative Party and former Labor voters from the working class.
Sunak is not well received by many on the right-wing spectrum. Garnett says she is very rich. According to him, the prime minister does not have real access to the citizens. According to him, the so-called cost of living crisis and inflation have also been added to these cases.
The short-term goal of the UK reforms is to pressure the Conservatives to adopt more right-wing policies, says von Ondarza.
The article added: Before the House of Commons elections, the by-elections in Wellingborough, central England, due to be held in mid-February, could show just how big the influence of British reform is: A constituency where many people voted for Brexit. The Tories should be worried about a really safe seat there.
Von Ondarza also said: Mid-term elections are usually elections where governments are punished. Voter turnout is usually low. There will be no change in the composition of the parliament. In Wellingborough the British Reform Party could score its first respectable success – and plunge the Tories further into crisis.