Challenges Facing Terrorist Rule in Syria: From Civil War to Tense Neighbors.
The dramatic events in Syria and the fall of Bashar al-Assad’s regime took place so quickly that no one could have imagined it. Although this issue took away more time for the audience and public opinion at the time, today the terrorists must think about what will happen in the future and what impact the developments in Syria will have on the situation in the Arab world and the balance of power in the region.
The Syrian government is currently facing major challenges, the most important of which is the form of the political system that should bring stability to Syria. The nature of the leaders of this Arab country, which will have a tremendous impact on the future stage, is also considered important.
The possibility of civil war
The armed movements that took up arms against the government of Bashar al-Assad and ultimately caused his downfall are numerous, and their common point was opposition to the government of Bashar al-Assad, but now that the Assad government has fallen, it is likely that the ideological, political, and sectarian contradictions between these groups will gradually become more prominent, and it is unlikely that they will reach a common approach to how to manage the government and governance or be able to save the new Syria from the challenges it faces domestically and internationally.
If we look at past developments in the Arab world over the past two decades, we see that in many countries, opposition forces have succeeded in eliminating authoritarian regimes, but have not been able to create alternative governments with greater democracy and greater sustainability.
Since the subversive movements in Syria are mainly armed militias supported by foreign parties, it seems unlikely that they are genuine or nationalist political movements for the country. On the other hand, it is not unlikely that they will take up arms to resolve political or ideological disputes that arise among themselves. This is while the interests of the foreign parties supporting these groups may also be in tension and contradiction with each other, which could be a prelude to a civil war in Syria that will push the country towards disintegration.
Syrian society is a society with diverse popular and sectarian currents, and if the armed groups want to create a balance between the main currents and bring to power a government based on this balance in order to create a government similar to Lebanon or Iraq, a greater disaster may occur and the goals and aspirations of the Zionist regime to divide the Arab world on sectarian grounds will be achieved and the ground will be prepared for the Zionist regime to dominate the region.
The Russian Challenge
The rule of terrorists in Syria will also face problems in its foreign relations. This issue is noticeable in the way it interacts with neighboring countries, including Turkey and the Zionist regime. Syria has been embroiled in trans-regional tensions for 13 years, in which many international currents have played a role. However, Russia still maintains its air and naval bases in Syria, and it is unclear whether it will voluntarily abandon these bases, insist on continuing its presence there, or make its withdrawal from these bases conditional on the withdrawal of the United States from the bases and occupied areas, especially the oil-rich areas of Syria.
The Challenge of Turkey
Although Turkey has now expanded its foothold in Syria and is very happy about the victory it achieved in the fall of Bashar al-Assad through the terrorists it supports, namely Hayat Tahrir al-Sham; however, the establishment of any nationalist sovereignty in Syria will confront the country with challenges, and the aforementioned government will enter into conflict with Turkey from two perspectives. The first point is Turkey’s historical greed for part of Syrian territory, and the second is related to the Kurds.
The Turks’ greed for Syrian territory is so great that some senior Turkish officials have considered the city of Aleppo a Turkish city and believe they must reclaim it.