PNN – Referring to the obstacles, limitations and priorities of Europe and America in helping Ukraine, the “Foreign Policy” website emphasized, quoting analysts and officials: Despite the US Congress’s approval of a $60 billion military aid bill to Kyiv, it is still possible that Ukraine will be defeated by Russia in the remaining months of this year (2024).
According to the report of Pakistan News Network from this analytical database, the United States and Europe plan to increase their war munitions production capacity and fill their arsenals in 2024, and this still leaves the Ukrainians’ hands empty to win against Russia.
The publication added: “Despite the approval of new US aid to Ukraine, most arms factories have not yet increased their production.”
Alexandra Ustinova, a Ukrainian lawmaker, said in this regard: The problem is that there is a severe shortage of artillery shells around the world. The Europeans promised to provide us (Ukraine) with one million bullets, but they only provided 30% of it.
He added: “The Americans also emptied their warehouses by sending their military reserves to [the] Israeli [regime] and in the end they only increase the capacity of their production line.”
According to this report, after the approval of the American Congress, the administration of the President of the United States, Joe Biden, can again fill the weapons reserves of the Ministry of Defense of this country for the day that it may be needed to fight its war.
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This would allow the White House sufficient leeway to send artillery equipment to the Ukrainians from European stockpiles without harming US military readiness.
According to Foreign Policy, the US government is expected to spend most of the remainder of the year rebuilding the US stockpile to pre-war levels. The army of this country plans to increase its artillery production to 100,000 bullets per month by the end of 2025.
On the other hand, Europe’s military reserves are also empty. Most of the military equipment promised by the European Union will not reach the Ukrainians until the end of 2024. Therefore, Ukraine’s partners on the continent are hiding and looking for suppliers of military equipment outside the European Union.
According to European officials, refurbishing old artillery ammunition is about 30 percent cheaper than buying new rounds, but most of it comes from countries close to the former Soviet Union, which are reluctant to cooperate against Russia.
Franz Stephen Gaddy, an associate professor at the International Institute for Strategic Studies in London, who recently conducted a study on the rate of Ukrainian artillery fire, stated: Assuming that the Ukrainians can fire a monthly rate of 75,000 to 85,000 rounds in the next 12 months, this is the minimum amount that Ukraine needs to continue the war with the Russians. With these conditions, there is no possibility for their aggressive operations against Russia this year.
Meanwhile, Russia is on track to produce three million and 500 thousand [artillery] rounds in 2024, and may be able to increase it to four million and 500 thousand rounds by the end of the year.
On the other hand, Russian arms factories are currently operating around the clock. European officials believe that the Russians will build more factories to produce the bullets they need.