Forming the next Iraqi government: Towards a consensus prime minister.
According to Al-Khaliq Online, analysts discussed scenarios for forming the future Iraqi government.
Political analyst Najm Al-Qassab said: The process of forming the Iraqi government is not much different from previous periods, and any party that can form a majority through a coalition has the opportunity to form a government.
He added: The number of seats that the factions have won cannot alone be a factor in forming a government or electing a president, because the political equation is more complex than numbers and figures.
Al-Qassab emphasized: The election of the president according to Article 70 of the Constitution requires obtaining a majority vote in parliament and is a constant challenge given the difficulty of reaching this quorum in light of the current balances.
On the other hand, Ihsan Al-Shammari, head of the Iraqi Center for Political Thought, said: Several factors play a role in the leadership of the Muhammad Shia Al-Sudani coalition in the elections, including his presence in the post of prime minister.
Al-Shammari added: The formation of a rival list for the Coordination Framework encouraged some voters to support Al-Sudani’s list, because they felt that the Coordination Framework had not previously been able to make any significant political progress.
He continued: The discussion of a split within the Coordination Framework is not accurate because this time the movement has a unified position against granting Al-Sudani a new term, and all its parties have a common position, unlike in previous periods. The fact that Al-Sudani was not invited to the meetings of the framework, along with the comments of some of its leaders welcoming alternative options, is more indicative of internal cohesion than of a split.
The head of the Iraqi Center for Political Thought clarified: The most likely scenario is a move towards a consensus prime minister because the political custom of having a specific movement hold the prime minister’s post is still in place, and the Coordination Framework today considers itself the owner of the largest faction.
The analyst said: An extension of Al-Sudani’s term as president seems unlikely. All scenarios indicate that the process of forming a government will be long and all possibilities are present, especially in a country that, after two decades of difficult experiences, is still searching for a sustainable model of governance.
The final results of the Iraqi parliamentary elections were announced a few days ago, during which the Grand Coalition of Shiites (Coordination Framework Coalition) won the most seats in parliament.