From Opportunity to Oblivion: How Syria’s Conflict Became a Threat to Israel’s Security.
In a revealing analysis published by the Lebanese newspaper Al-Akhbar, the intricate web of military movements and alliances in northern Syria has been laid bare, highlighting the complex interests of various regional players, including Israel. At first glance, the takeover of Aleppo by terrorist groups might seem like a boon for Tel Aviv, as it would weaken the Syrian government and create an opportunity for Israel to exert its influence. However, upon closer inspection, it becomes clear that this development poses a threat to Israel’s interests, as it would only serve to strengthen the bond between Damascus and Tehran, making it increasingly difficult for Israel to drive a wedge between them.
The Israeli government, keenly aware of the shifting dynamics, has been actively courting Syria’s disintegration. Tel Aviv’s long-standing goal has been to redraw the map of Syria, with terrorist groups controlling key cities, including Damascus. However, this scenario remains firmly in the realm of speculation, and its realization is far from guaranteed. The unpredictability of the conflict, coupled with the varied interests of various actors, makes it difficult to predict the outcome.
Turkey’s current support for these terrorist groups, although significant, is unlikely to be a game-changer in the region. Furthermore, the recent ceasefire between Lebanon and Israel has not diminished Tel Aviv’s resolve to apply pressure on Bashar al-Assad’s government, with some officials even advocating for his assassination.
Israel’s security interests have long been intertwined with the fate of Syria, and the movement of terrorist groups in northern Syria is no exception. Tel Aviv has been accused of providing indirect support and equipment to these groups, often through third-party intermediaries, such as Turkey and the United States. However, this clandestine relationship is fraught with risks, as the diverse array of actors involved in the conflict has the potential to undermine Israel’s objectives.
Ultimately, as the report concludes, the prospect of Israel topping the Syrian government remains an unattainable goal in the long term. The conflict in Syria has become a zero-sum game, with various parties vying for influence and control. While Israel may reap short-term gains from its clandestine support of terrorist groups, the likelihood of achieving a decisive victory in the region remains slim.
The outcome of the Syrian conflict will have far-reaching implications for the region and the global balance of power. As the situation continues to evolve, it is crucial to monitor the shifting alliances and interests of key players, including Israel. One thing is certain: the intricate web of politics and proxy warfare in Syria will continue to shape the fate of the Middle East for years to come.