PNN – Referring to the “maximum pressure” campaign of the Trump administration, the Foreign Affairs magazine wrote that the tightening of sanctions may bring Iran closer to Russia and that the United States should prevent Tehran and Moscow from getting closer to Moscow in a diplomatic maneuver while preventing Iran from acquiring nuclear weapons.
According to the report of Pakistan News Network, Foreign Affairs claimed: Israel and the US are facing complex calculations on how to confront Iran, which is weak but is acquiring nuclear military technology. Moscow’s possible help in rebuilding and modernizing Iran’s air defense and providing more advanced air defense systems and advanced fighter jets may take this opportunity from Israel.
Although the maximum pressure campaign intended by the Trump administration may increase support for military action while intensifying economic pressure against Tehran, a joint military campaign between Israel and the United States or unilateral action by Israel can strengthen Iran’s nuclear determination and increase Russian support. Considering the uncertainty of the success of military operations, a diplomatic approach mixed with pressure and interaction seems to be a more successful option.
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In the continuation of this article, it is stated: American policymakers should adjust the pressure on Moscow and Tehran in a way so that the existing partnership between the two does not increase. The lack of mutual defense arrangements in the strategic partnership agreement shows the limitations of the current cooperation between the two countries. In addition, Russia’s military needs in Ukraine limit the export of military items to Iran. This means that the US still has the possibility of maneuvering to limit Russia’s nuclear assistance to Iran.
The expiration of the trigger mechanism in October 2025 will provide the United States with a window of time to strengthen diplomatic engagement and possibly extend or revise the terms of the agreement. Despite no longer being a party to the nuclear deal, Washington must coordinate a chain of multilateral pressure campaigns and take advantage of the ability of France, Germany and Britain to automatically reimpose sanctions. This is a process that neither Russia nor China can veto.
Now that Russia has no leverage in Syria, America should actively encourage Israel to increase its support for Ukraine. In the past, Israel took the side of caution in helping Ukraine and was satisfied with only sending early warning radars and humanitarian aid due to the fear of retaliation against the Russian Jews and stopping the channels to resolve the conflict with Russia in Syria. But after the removal of Assad and the withdrawal of a significant part of the Russian military force from Syria, Israel may reconsider this matter. The provision of key technologies such as mobile radars and Soviet-era ammunition seized from Lebanese and Syrian warehouses could be part of this assistance.
As long as the war in Ukraine and the strained relations between Iran and the West continue, creating a gap between Russia and Iran will be a big challenge. Washington should watch out for the possible efforts of these two countries to renew their influence in Syria, where the cooperation of Russia and Iran bore fruit for the first time.