Tel Aviv’s breach of promise in withdrawing from southern Lebanon; Renewed resistance forces and the Zionist miscalculation system.
With the expiration of the two-month ceasefire in Lebanon on Sunday, January 27, 2025, the Israeli army has refused to fully withdraw from southern Lebanon, citing illegitimate excuses such as “the lack of full deployment of the Lebanese army in the south of the country” and “the inability of the Lebanese armed forces to confront the re-deployment of Hezbollah below the Litani River.” Following this breach of promise, the residents of southern Lebanon decided to go to their places of residence in a collective action and expel the Zionist occupiers from their places of residence and work.
In the meantime, there is no positive news from political channels. President Joseph Aoun and Prime Minister Nawaf Salam, who had pledged to fully implement the ceasefire and Security Council Resolution 1701 to pave the way for the expulsion of the occupiers, have now passively accepted the request to extend the ceasefire until February 18.
In such circumstances, the key question for Lebanese public opinion and experts on regional issues is how long the Israeli army intends to remain in southern Lebanon. Does the Israeli Prime Minister intend to move towards escalating tensions on other fronts, especially the West Bank and Lebanon, at the time of the cessation of hostilities and the exchange of prisoners in Gaza? Is it possible that Tel Aviv will move towards the option of resuming the war in Lebanon after the political changes in the White House and Damascus? What is the role of the mediating actors in this?