PNN – The expert of “Middle East Institute” believes that when “Donald Trump” takes the helm of the White House again after four years, he will face a Middle East that is different from 4 years ago.
According to the report of Pakistan News Network, Brian Katulis, a foreign policy analyst at the above-mentioned American think tank, said that when US President-elect Donald Trump returns to the White House on January 20, 2025, he will face a Middle East that will dramatically resemble what January 2021 means when the first term of his presidency is different. Hamas’s attack on Israel on October 7, 2023 ignited a conflict that not only continues until now, but has also spread to other parts of the Middle East.
Referring to the developments of the last five months for the axis of resistance, especially in Syria, this report states that Trump is the president who prides himself on taking unexpected actions. This makes it difficult for analysts to predict what he might do on any particular issue in the Middle East.
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The report states: Considering the conditions and speed of transformations in the region, a rational prediction is that the future Trump administration will most likely give this region more priority than the initial months of the Biden administration in January 2021. In the initial months, the Biden administration was faced with a series of issues such as domestic policy challenges related to the Covid-19 pandemic and the economic crisis, and decided to focus more on Asia and Europe than on the Middle East in its first year.
According to this analysis, the increase in oil and food prices after the start of the war in Ukraine and the increase in China’s movements caused the Biden team to finally increase its involvement in the region in its second year of operation.
The second half of Biden’s presidential term was also affected by the reaction to the war between Israel and Hamas, but Biden was mainly reactive. In the last weeks, the Biden government took measures for the ceasefire in Lebanon and even put the ceasefire in Gaza and the release of the hostages on the agenda.
Katoulis believes that increasing the speed of action of Biden in the final days of the presidency, will probably put the Middle East more on the agenda of the Trump team. Especially since Trump is motivated to prioritize the Middle East and expand the Ibrahim agreement with Saudi Arabia and other countries. In addition, Iran’s nuclear program will be one of his agendas.
In the final part of this report, it is stated: What will happen in the Middle East in 2025 will be determined mostly by the key powers in the region. The United States remains the most influential foreign power. How the Trump administration and the next Congress interact with key regional partners will influence the Middle East’s liberation from war and conflict and its movement toward peace, prosperity, and cohesion.