PNN – About the second term of the presidency of Donald Trump, who is going to be sworn in as the 47th president of the United States of America in January 2025, an American media says that the second Trump administration “may be terrible and redefine the world order.”
According to the report of Pakistan News Network, the American CNN news channel affiliated with the Democratic Party says in an analysis about the second term of the presidency of Republican Donald Trump: The second term of the presidency of Donald Trump, the president-elect of the United States, will certainly be destructive. Even the Trump administration may lead to a severe isolation of America, which will bring about significant changes.
This analysis states:
Little is known about Trump’s foreign policy. We know he is against America’s protracted wars. He seems to like dictators, or at least powerful men.
He likes what he sees as good deals and destroys what he sees as bad deals. He hates American allies who he thinks are taking advantage of America.
He does not believe in global warming. Trump’s first administration revealed a man eager to be at the center of any issue. But the elected president is also unique in this sense and does not express his foreign policy positions.
The mainstream media (in America) is analyzing how they got this election so wrong. Perhaps similar conditions exist in assessing Trump’s possible foreign policy.
Trump is not the heir to a world at peace, where America’s unquestioned role as a beacon of freedom and moral superiority has brought lasting peace.
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Did Trump have a role in his first round?
If we look for a bright spot in the years 2017 to 2021, the assassination (martyrdom) of Iranian commander (Serdar) Qassem Soleimani in January 2020 was a clear example of Trump’s actions. Not only the commander of the Quds Force of Iran’s Revolutionary Guards, but also the most prominent military figure in the region at that time was martyred in an American drone attack in Baghdad.
Even one of the American officials involved in this operation was surprised by this brazen act. It was felt that if Iran took serious revenge, the region would plunge into a full-blown crisis, but in the end, little happened.
Did this assassination lead to Iran’s growing support for affiliated groups? Probably or did this attack limit Iran’s ambitions? We do not know the answer to this question.
Trump’s apparent alliance with Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu appears to favor the current Israeli Prime Minister. However, the president-elect’s broader demands may limit Israel’s options. Endless funding and arming of Israel’s multiple conflicts is at odds with Trump’s broader goal of reducing US global involvement.
He may also be concerned with the electoral damage the war in Gaza has done to Democrats. After the horrific attacks on Lebanon and Gaza, Netanyahu must surely have completed many of his lists of regional targets, and his victorious American counterpart may have little inclination to continue supporting Netanyahu’s wars.
The ongoing war of attrition with Iran needs immediate attention. However, Tehran now has the experience of Trump as someone who is willing to be extremely reckless and not afraid of international norms.
If Iran seeks to expand its nuclear program, it can expect a sharp response from the United States. US President Joe Biden is leaving power and Iran is now facing a radical Republican US President.
A mixture of Trump’s disorganization and arrogance may have the greatest effect on China. Chinese President Xi Jinping congratulated him on his victory, while warning that the US would lose from confrontation and gain from cooperation.
The first and most dangerous decision that Trump will face is the continued US support for Ukraine. Any deal would likely include Kiev’s territorial concessions and a pause in the fighting that would allow Moscow to reorganize. This in itself would be very dangerous for the security of Europe.
Will Moscow accept a better deal with Trump?
The answer to these questions is currently unknown, but the situation does not bode well for Kiev.
However, Trump’s ascendancy has not brought a new set of global crises and problems. Rather, it means that America and its allies must prepare to tackle the same issues with different priorities.
This may spell disaster for the current world order and Western democracies, or it may force America’s societies and allies to adopt a new spirit of enlightened compromise and passionate defense.