PNN – An American media outlet reported that Trump’s defeat in Iran could spell the end of America’s presence in the region.
According to the report of Pakistan News Network, in continuation of the Western and American press’s analysis of the results of the US-Zionist war against Iran and the agreement reached between Tehran and Washington, the American magazine Foreign Policy wrote in an article by Steven Cook, a prominent American expert and author: The war that the United States launched against Iran revealed the limits of America’s influence in West Asia and created increasing calls in Washington to end America’s presence in the region.
The war against Iran had no strategic gains
The American media added: It seems that today the time has come for Washington to retreat from its role as a “security guarantor” in the region, a role it has played for decades. The truth is that the military operation launched by US President Donald Trump against Iran, called “Operation Epic Fury”, has had no real strategic gains, despite his usual declaration of victory.
The author of the article, a senior fellow for Middle East affairs at the Council on Foreign Relations, emphasized: The terms of the announced memorandum of understanding between Washington and Tehran reflect a different reality. The parties will return to negotiations on Iran’s nuclear program and Iran will be allowed to export its oil under a special exemption for 60 days, while the future of shipping in the Strait of Hormuz remains in limbo.
According to the article, Iranian officials have emphasized that the guarantee of freedom of navigation in the Strait of Hormuz is limited to the duration of the temporary agreement and that Tehran may later impose tariffs on passing ships, which raises fundamental questions about the purpose of the war started by the United States.
The aforementioned American expert and official questioned the real goal of this war and stated: The United States and its allies in the region were in a better position before the start of this war against Iran on February 28, and today, Trump’s defeat in Iran could lead to a completely different outcome than what he announced.
The result of Trump’s defeat against Iran is a rapid US withdrawal from the region
He added: The result of this war could be a rapid US withdrawal from the region, especially since at the present time a growing number of members of Congress and current and future officials are no longer willing to allocate huge political, military and financial resources to maintain the US presence in the region.
The article continues by emphasizing: Here we should recall the British withdrawal from the Persian Gulf in the 1970s, when London, burdened by a declining empire, announced the end of its military presence “east of Suez”. After that, the United States gradually began to establish its military presence in the region, and this presence expanded significantly after Iraq’s invasion of Kuwait in 1990.
According to the Foreign Policy report, the results of the past five decades in the region have not been encouraging for the United States, and Washington has failed to implement its claims and slogans, whether through the establishment of a Palestinian state, the reconstruction of Iraqi society, or the transformation of the countries of the region into stable democracies.
The end of America’s era in the region has come
According to the report, the war against Iran adds to a series of previous US defeats in the region, and both Republican and Democratic parties in the United States today emphasize the need to reduce American intervention in the region and focus on other important issues.
The author of the article notes that changes in energy markets have also played a role in changing America’s calculations. Democrats are pushing for a rapid transition to clean energy, while Republicans are hesitant about the United States continuing to shoulder the burden of protecting the Persian Gulf.
Steven Cook predicts that the US presence in the region will be reduced to a very limited level, consisting mainly of a naval presence in Bahrain, a rotational aircraft carrier in the region and perhaps an air force in Jordan. This change effectively means the end of the Carter Doctrine, which was committed to protecting the flow of oil from the Persian Gulf, and in fact, we can say that the end of the US era in the region has come.
As for America’s allies in the region, the Arab regimes, the author believes that they will be forced to readjust their security priorities in the absence of a clear international alternative, especially since China, having learned the lessons of America’s costly interventions in the region, does not seem willing to inherit America’s role.
At the end of this article, it is emphasized: Trump has made a major strategic mistake that all previous US presidents avoided, but now there is an opportunity to make an unprecedented decision: America’s withdrawal from the region.