Gaza war and upcoming scenarios.
October 15, is a historic day and a turning point in the history of the West Asian region in general and in the Palestine-Zionist regime conflict in particular. Al-Qassam Battalions, the military wing of the Palestinian Islamic Resistance Movement (Hamas), attacked the Zionist regime on this day and inflicted the biggest military defeat in the 75-year history of this regime. Following this attack, Benjamin Netanyahu’s cabinet, which was shocked and surprised, launched an all-out attack on the Gaza Strip, which is still ongoing. In this article, along with a brief historical reference to the situation in Gaza, the question will be answered, what are the scenarios for the Gaza war?
A brief review of the historical situation in Gaza
The Gaza Strip has an area of 364 square kilometers. This city has a population of 2,300,000 people. Gaza is the most densely populated place in the world (with more than 6,100 people per square kilometer). About 70% of Palestinians living in the Gaza Strip have been displaced to this area from other parts of Palestine. Gaza shares borders with Egypt and the occupying regime of Al-Quds. Gaza has a common border of 11 km with Egypt and 51 km with occupied Palestine and has a 40 km Mediterranean coast.
Although Gaza is one of the centers of resistance in Palestine, the control of this strip has been given to Palestine only since 2005. Gaza was under the control of Egypt from 1948 to 1967, and from 1967 to 2005, it was occupied by the Zionist regime for 38 years. Since 2005, when the Israeli military was forced to withdraw from the Gaza Strip and its control was handed over to the Hamas movement, Gaza has been the witness of siege and war. Since 2007, the Zionist regime has been under an all-round siege of Gaza and has turned this strip into the world’s largest open-air prison. Since 2005, the Zionist regime has waged repeated wars against Gaza, including the five-day genocide in February 2008, the 22-day war in 2008, the 8-day war in 2012, the 51-day war in 2014, and the 12-day war in 2021.
Now Gaza is once again witnessing a war, a war that has so far claimed about 2,808 martyrs and more than 10,859,000 wounded. The difference between the recent war and the previous 5 major wars is that in the previous wars, the Zionist regime was the aggressor and the Palestinians were the defenders, but the recent war started with an unprecedented attack by Hamas on the occupied territories, and the Zionist regime, in response to this action, launched an all-out attack against Gaza. started. In fact, the attack of Hamas on the occupied territories was the heaviest military defeat of the Zionist regime because, in addition to the intelligence and military surprise, more than 1,500 Zionists were killed and more than 3,500 were wounded. Meanwhile, 13 people were killed in the 22-day war, only 3 in the 8-day war, 68 in the 51-day war, and 14 in the 12-day war. Due to this situation, the occupying regime of Quds, which is extremely angry about this failure, has started and continues to attack the Gaza Strip, and the news also indicates the possibility of starting a ground attack on Gaza.
Scenarios facing the Gaza war
With the continued attacks of the Zionist regime against the Gaza Strip, the following scenarios can be proposed about this war:
1. Continue the attacks until the complete occupation of Gaza
One of the scenarios facing the recent war in Gaza is the continuation of the attack until the complete occupation of this strip. Netanyahu continues all-out attacks to quell domestic anger. The Zionist regime is trying to wrap up the version of Gaza forever and take control of this strip once again. 17 years have passed since the withdrawal of the Zionist forces from the Gaza Strip and the control of Hamas over this strip. During this period and until 2021, the Zionist regime witnessed the reconciliation of the West Bank and the Palestinian Authority and the resistance of the Gaza Strip against it. During the 38-year occupation of the Gaza Strip, the Zionist regime built military and security bases and settlements in this area, but these attacks could not break the will of the Palestinian people, especially militant groups such as the Islamic Resistance Movement (Hamas) and Islamic Jihad. submit them to the conditions imposed by Israel. As a result of this resistance, the Zionist regime decided to withdraw from the Gaza Strip. In the past 17 years, although tens of thousands of Palestinians were martyred and injured due to the frequent wars of the Zionist regime and the infrastructure of Gaza was also destroyed, not only the Gaza Strip was not deserted, but the population of this strip increased every year and now it is more than 2 million. and has a population of 300,000.
2. Continue the attack until the complete defeat of Hamas (identification of Hamas with ISIS)
Another scenario that is proposed about this war is the continuation of the attack until the complete defeat of Hamas. In fact, in this scenario, the main goal is to destroy Hamas, which has imposed the storm of al-Aqsa on the Zionist regime. In this scenario, Hamas is equated with Daesh, and the Zionist regime demands that they do the same thing that was done against Daesh through the formation of an international coalition against Hamas.
The military, political, and legal annihilation of Hamas is pursued in this scenario. The military annihilation of Hamas was undertaken by the Zionist regime and the political and legal annihilation by America and Europe. Therefore, the news is trending that among the dead Israelis, there are a number of Americans, Austrians, etc. The Zionist regime is preparing to start a ground war and has given a short deadline to the people of northern Gaza, who are 1,200,000 people, to leave this area.
America and European countries will also benefit from political and legal approaches at the global level against Hamas. Zionist and American authorities and media claim that the Zionist regime, by giving people a deadline to leave northern Gaza, is trying to create a separation between civilians and soldiers and prevent the killing of civilians.